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Like all Over/Under goals market, the Over 1.5 goals market needs a bit of explanation.

 An Over 1.5 goals bet is on 2 or more goals being scored in a game

 If you want to increase the profit you can make here, you can put multiple Over 1.5 goals bets together in an acca, remember some of the top 5 Secret formula of winning Football Prediction, we listed over 1.5 goals predictions as one of the most profitable betting markets

More than 70% of matches in the English Premier League finish with over 1.5 goals (i.e., fewer than 5). So, while that might seem like a “safe bet” it often means that the odds are low too.

Odds are much more generous if you choose to bet on over 1.5 goals and try to find one of those rarer thrillers (around 8% of games).

Over 1.5 Goals is a well-known betting market options, mostly because of its simplicity and the likelihood of winning. In fact, the overall stats for football as a whole show that between 70-80% of games end with at least 2 goals being scored in the match.

If you are a novice to football betting, you may be wondering what on Earth an Over 1.5 goals is. An Over 1.5 Goals bet is simply an industry term for betting on two goals or more to be scored in a match. 

The score line does not matter. As long as the two teams score at least two combined goals, your Over 1.5 Goals bet will win. The over 1.5 goals market can be an appealing one to bet on because you are banking on goals to be scored and don’t need to worry about who will win the match.  All you need is two goals in the game for your bet to be marked as green.

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It can be a solid wager to go for in games where there are two attacking teams, or teams with weak defences, or both. As with most of the over/under markets, the over 1.5 market is a very popular market and therefore has excellent liquidity, so you should have no problem getting your bets matched and securing good value. Before placing your bet, you also want to check team news to ensure that the main attacking players are going to be playing, to give your bet the best chance of succeeding. 

Now let’s dive in to the awesome strategies

How to predict over 1.5 goals correctly

Predicting over 1.5 goals successfully requires a structured approach that blends research, statistical analysis, and smart betting strategies. Below is a refined and unique strategy that integrates the best elements from multiple methodologies to help you improve your betting accuracy and increase your chances of winning. 

1. Analyze High-Scoring Leagues and Teams

Not all leagues and teams are created equal when it comes to goal frequency. Some leagues consistently produce high-scoring games, making them ideal for over 1.5 goals bets. 

Best football Leagues for Over 1.5 Goals:

• Dutch Eredivisie
• German Bundesliga
• English Championship
• Turkish Süper Lig
• Australian A-League
• English Premier League
• Singapore Premier League
• Denmark Superliga
• Switzerland Challenge League
• France Ligue 1
• Qatar Stars League
• Germany  3. Liga 

When analyzing specific teams, focus on those with a high attacking output and weak defensive setups. These teams tend to participate in matches that consistently cross the 1.5 goal threshold. 

Example:
A match between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund is more likely to exceed 1.5 goals compared to a game involving Atletico Madrid and Juventus, as both the former teams emphasize attacking play.

2. Evaluate Recent Form and Head-to-Head Stats

To increase accuracy of over 1.5 goals predictions, one needs to analyze recent goal trends of both teams:

• Look at the last 5-10 matches to determine their goal-scoring consistency.
• Examine the goals-per-game average for both teams.
• Check if both teams tend to concede often, which can boost goal probabilities.

3. Head-to-Head Considerations:

• Some teams have a history of high-scoring encounters against each other.
• If past matchups between the two teams frequently produced 2+ goals, that’s a strong indicator for over 1.5 goals. 

Example:
If Liverpool vs. Newcastle has consistently ended with 2-1, 3-1, or 3-2 scorelines in their last 5 meetings, the trend is likely to continue. 

4. Use Expected Goals (xG) and Statistical Tools

Expected Goals (xG) is a valuable metric that estimates the likelihood of scoring based on shot quality and attacking play. Teams with high xG values are likely to score more, making them excellent choices for over 1.5 goals bets.

Example:

• If Manchester City has an xG of 2.5 per game, while their opponent Everton has an xGA (expected goals against) of 1.8, the probability of at least two goals in that match is very high. 

5. Consider Match Context and Motivation

Teams’ motivations often influence how open or defensive a match will be:

• Title Contenders or teams in the Relegation zone are more likely to play aggressively, leading to more goals.
• Teams in Must-Win Situations – Often push forward, leaving gaps at the back.
• End-of-Season Matches – Can be unpredictable, but weaker teams tend to concede more.

Example:
A fixture like Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid in a title-deciding match might be more cautious, whereas a game like Leicester vs. Leeds with relegation pressure may be more open and attacking.

6. In-Play Betting for Better Odds

Pre-match research is vital, but sometimes watching the game live can provide better insights for an over 1.5 goals bet.

In-Play Signals for Over 1.5 Goals:

• High shot frequency – If both teams are registering multiple shots on target in the first 20 minutes, it indicates an attacking game.
• Early corners and attacks – More attacking play often leads to goals.
• High tempo and defensive weaknesses – If defenses look shaky and attackers are getting chances, goals are likely.

Example:
If PSG vs. Lyon starts with 6 shots on target in the first 15 minutes but no goals yet, it’s a prime in-play bet for over 1.5 goals. 

7. Avoid Risky Matches with Defensive Teams

Some teams and match types are best avoided for over 1.5 goals bets:

• Defensive-minded teams – Teams like Atletico Madrid or Juventus often prioritize defense.
• Cup Finals or High-Stakes Games – These matches can be cagey and low-scoring.
• Derbies and Rivalries – Some intense rivalries result in tight, low-scoring affairs.

Example:
A Champions League Final between Real Madrid and Inter Milan may have a more defensive approach than a Premier League match between Tottenham and Aston Villa, which is more likely to have open play and goals. 

8. Leverage Combination Bets for Added Value

Combining over 1.5 goals with other bet types can maximize value while managing risk.

Best Combo Bets for Over 1.5 Goals:

Double Chance & Over 1.5 Goals – If you expect a match to have 2+ goals but want to hedge against an upset.

Both Teams to Score (BTTS) & Over 1.5 Goals – Good for matches where both teams have attacking strengths.

1st Half Over 1.5 Goals – Best for teams that start fast and score early.

Example:
For a fixture like Man City vs. Manchester United, a BTTS + Over 1.5 goals bet makes sense if both teams have been consistently scoring in their last 5 games.

9. Bankroll Management and Discipline

Even with solid predictions, betting discipline is essential to avoid unnecessary losses.

Key Bankroll Management Tips:

Bet Only a Fixed Percentage – Avoid staking more than 2-5% of your bankroll per bet.

Stick to a Strategy – Don’t place random bets based on gut feelings.

Avoid Chasing Losses – Accept losses as part of the process and analyze mistakes rather than increasing bets irrationally.

Wrapping Up

The over 1.5 goals market is a simple one to bet on – you just need there to be at least two goals in a game to win your bet. The odds for over 1.5 goals to occur in a match are generally low – usually between 1.2 and 1.4 before a game starts, but on the plus side a high proportion of games will have two or more goals. 

By using statistics both before kick-off and in-play to access metrics such as home and away stats and the number of chances created, there is an opportunity to make money on a regular basis using a solid over 1.5 goals strategy. 

Finding a good prediction in this market is all about finding value. And to do that, you need the best stats and experts.

As always, please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose. 

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